CA Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
CA OsasunavAthletic Bilbao
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30CA Osasuna3.35Casumo
Draw3.40Betfred (UK)
Athletic Bilbao2.23Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 2 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio El Sadar, PamplonaKickoff weather: 15.2°C · rain 0 mm · wind 16.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LWWLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 2.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | at Sevilla (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Racing Santander (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Real Racing Club de Santander (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Betis (A) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Betis Balompié (A) | 2-5 | L |
WLLLDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Getafe (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | at Operario-PR (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-21 | at Levante (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-21 | at Levante UD (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at Avai (A) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna | 11 | 11 | 9 | -8 | WLDLL |
| Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 9 | 8 | -1 | LDDD |
CA Osasuna: 16 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Athletic Bilbao: 18 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
CA Osasuna 0 wins4 drawsAthletic Bilbao 2avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Club v CA Osasuna | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-03 | CA Osasuna v Athletic Club | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-30 | Ath Bilbao v Osasuna | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-21 | Osasuna v Ath Bilbao | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-11 | Athletic Club v CA Osasuna | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-11 | Ath Bilbao v Osasuna | 2-2 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
CA Osasunasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| R. Del Castillo | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| V. Rosier | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| K. Barja | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Gomez | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Oroz | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| J. Herrando | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Moro | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Bonel | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| R. Del Castillo | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| V. Rosier | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| K. Barja | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Gomez | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Oroz | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| J. Herrando | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Moro | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Athletic Bilbaosnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Laporte | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| D. Vivian | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| G. Guruzeta | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| O. Sancet | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Prados Diaz | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| U. Vencedor | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Williams | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Djalo | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| N. Serrano | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| U. Egiluz | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Canales | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Laporte | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| D. Vivian | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| G. Guruzeta | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| O. Sancet | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 29 Oct, 08:08 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do CA Osasuna play Athletic Bilbao?
Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 29 October at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 2 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.