Villarreal v Espanyol — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LAL·Regular Season - 11·Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK·Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal· 16.9°C · 2.7 kph windAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
VillarrealvEspanyol
Fri 30 Oct, 20:00Villarreal1.53Casumo
Draw4.70Smarkets
Espanyol6.20Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, VillarrealKickoff weather: 16.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 2.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLDWLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Valencia (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | at Liverpool (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Elche (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Napoli (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at Real Madrid (A) | 0-1 | L |
LLLDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.17 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Racing Santander (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | at Real Racing Club de Santander (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | at Malaga (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Elche (H) | 1-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 8 | 12 | 10 | +1 | WDLWW |
| Espanyol | 18 | 8 | 10 | -2 | LLDLL |
Villarreal: 15 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 20th
Espanyol: 19 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Villarreal 5 wins1 drawEspanyol 0avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Villarreal v Espanol | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-26 | Espanol v Villarreal | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2023-04-27 | Villarreal v Espanol | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| 2022-11-09 | Espanol v Villarreal | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| 2022-02-27 | Villarreal v Espanol | 5-1 | Primera Division |
| 2021-08-21 | Espanol v Villarreal | 0-0 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Villarrealsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Foyth | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| N. Pepe | Missing Fixture | Eye injury |
| S. Comesana | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Buchanan | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Romero | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| W. Kambwala | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| N. Saliba | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Diatta | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Foyth | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| N. Pepe | Questionable | Eye injury |
| S. Comesana | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Buchanan | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| W. Kambwala | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| A. Diatta | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Foyth | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
Espanyolsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| L. Cabrera | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Gorosabel | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Puado | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| K. Garcia | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Jofre | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| O. El Hilali | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| B. Zaragoza | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Cabrera | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Gorosabel | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Puado | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| K. Garcia | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Jofre | Questionable | Groin Injury |
| O. El Hilali | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| B. Zaragoza | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Cabrera | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Villarreal play Espanyol?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.