E

Espanyol

La Liga - Spain·12 of 20 in the table·4 points·RCDE Stadium

Next match CA Osasuna v Espanyol Sat 12 Sept, 15:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Espanyol — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

4 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

66

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

13th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

4 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:15 CA Osasuna A — 3.90Smarkets — Sun 13 Sept20:00 CA Osasuna A — 4.00Betfred — Tue 15 Sept18:00 Rayo Vallecano A — 4.00Grosvenor — Fri 18 Sept20:00 Elche CF H — 2.05Sky Bet —

Form

last 4

DLLW 4 pts from 4

H Sevilla 1–1 -0.5

A Real Sociedad 1–2 —

H Real Madrid 1–2 -0.9

H Levante 3–0 +1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 12 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots on target 3.8 #14 of 20

Points over model expectation -0.2 #14 of 19

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #10 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 11.8 #10 of 20

On target 3.8 #14 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #8 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 12 #6 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 4 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#12

Position

4

Points from 4 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
10	Athletic Club	4	1	6
11	Levante	4	0	5
12	Espanyol	4	1	4
13	Racing Santander	4	-1	4
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-3	4

Espanyol and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:15in 19h 39m
   CA Osasuna Espanyol

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 13 Sept20:00in 2d
   CA Osasuna Espanyol

   LAL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Tue 15 Sept18:00in 4d
   Rayo Vallecano Espanyol

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —
4. Fri 18 Sept20:00in 7d
   Espanyol Elche CF

   LAL

   Regular Season - 7
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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