E

Espanyol

La Liga - Spain·18 of 20 in the table·8 points·RCDE Stadium

Next match Villarreal v Espanyol Fri 30 Oct, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Espanyol — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

64.1

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

10th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 30 Oct20:00 Villarreal A — 6.20Smarkets —

Form

last 6

LLDLLW 4 pts from 6

A Racing Santander 1–2 -1.5

H Atletico Madrid 0–1 -1.2

A Malaga 1–1 -0.1

H Elche 1–3 -1.9

A Rayo Vallecano 1–2 -1.2

A Osasuna 2–0 +1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

-4.3 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.2 #15 of 20

Possession 46.3% #15 of 20

Shots on target 3.4 #16 of 20

Expected goals for 0.98 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.2 #15 of 20

Expected goals 0.98 #17 of 20

Shots 12.5 #10 of 20

On target 3.4 #16 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.4 #8 of 20

Expected against 1.51 #12 of 20

Shots faced 14.1 #11 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #12 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

64%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

18%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 15 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (26 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#18

Position

8

Points from 10 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
16	Getafe	9	-6	9
17	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8
19	Valencia	10	-10	6
20	Malaga	10	-12	5

Espanyol and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 30 Oct20:00in 4d
   Villarreal Espanyol

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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