V

Valencia

La Liga - Spain·19 of 20 in the table·6 points·Mestalla

Next match Elche CF v Valencia Sun 1 Nov, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Valencia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

65.1

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

3rd

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sun 1 Nov17:30 Elche CF A — 2.96Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LDDLWL 5 pts from 6

H Villarreal 1–2 -1.7

H Athletic Club 0–0 -0.8

A Racing Santander 2–2 -0.5

H Real Sociedad 2–3 -1.8

A Alaves 1–0 +1.5

A Sevilla 0–1 -1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

-9.5 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 1.05 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.7 #14 of 20

Expected goals for 1.23 #14 of 20

Shots 10.9 #16 of 20

Possession 45.3% #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.7 #19 of 20

Expected goals 1.23 #14 of 20

Shots 10.9 #16 of 20

On target 2.9 #19 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.7 #14 of 20

Expected against 1.05 #5 of 20

Shots faced 15.5 #17 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #10 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

13%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

50%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 16 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#19

Position

6

Points from 10 played

-10

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
17	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8
19	Valencia	10	-10	6
20	Malaga	10	-12	5

Valencia and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 1 Nov17:30in 6d
   Elche CF Valencia

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 35 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (4)
SS. Dimitrievski	32	1
CCristian Rivero	27	13
KK. van Oevelen	23	25
VVicent Abril	20	28
Defenders (12)
CCopete	26	3
MM. Diakhaby	29	4
CCésar Tárrega	23	5
JJ. de Haas	26	12
JJosé Gayà	30	14
JJesús Vázquez	22	21
PPablo Carmine Maffeo Becerra	28	24
RRubo Iranzo	22	26
AA. Panach	19	29
IIker Córdoba	20	36
JJoel Fontanet	19	40
MMarcos Navarro	21	41
Midfielders (14)
GG. Rodríguez	31	2
AA. Danjuma	28	7
JJavi Guerra	22	8
AAndré Almeida	26	10
HHarvey Elliott	23	10
AA. Dieng	28	15
PPepelu	28	18
DDani Raba	30	19
FF. Ugrinic	26	23
DDavid Otorbi	18	27
AAaron Mayol	18	33
JJ. Dura	17	38
MM. Martinez	17	38
RR. Sato	19	39
Forwards (5)
UU. Sadiq	28	6
HHugo Duro	26	9
LLuis Rioja	32	11
DDiego López	23	16
AAimar Blázquez	19	37

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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