RV

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga - Spain·17 of 20 in the table·9 points·Estadio de Vallecas

Next match Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo Sat 31 Oct, 15:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rayo Vallecano — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

65.8

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

19th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

9

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct15:15 Celta Vigo H — 2.35Casumo —

Form

last 6

LDDWLW 8 pts from 6

H Elche 0–3 -1.8

A Getafe 1–1 +0.1

A Osasuna 1–1 +0.0

H Espanyol 2–1 +1.5

A Real Madrid 1–4 -0.3

H Racing Santander 3–2 +1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.3 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 51.7% #6 of 20

Shots 14.8 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 2.22 #19 of 20

Shots faced 15.9 #19 of 20

Expected goals against 2.06 #20 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #13 of 20

Expected goals 1.43 #8 of 20

Shots 14.8 #7 of 20

On target 4.7 #9 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.22 #19 of 20

Expected against 2.06 #20 of 20

Shots faced 15.9 #19 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

57%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

7%

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

21%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 19 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (33 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#17

Position

9

Points from 9 played

-8

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
15	Athletic Club	8	-1	9
16	Getafe	9	-6	9
17	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8
19	Valencia	10	-10	6

Rayo Vallecano and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct15:15in 4d
   Rayo Vallecano Celta Vigo

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore