RV

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga - Spain·14 of 20 in the table·4 points·Estadio de Vallecas

Next match Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Sat 12 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rayo Vallecano — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

63.1

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

16th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept20:00 Real Madrid A — 27.00Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept18:00 Espanyol H — 2.12Smarkets —

Form

last 4

WLDL 4 pts from 4

H Racing Santander 3–2 +1.4

A Barcelona 2–5 —

H Alaves 1–1 -0.7

A Sevilla 1–2 -0.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots on target 5.3 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Possession 44.8% #14 of 20

Points over model expectation 0.1 #13 of 19

Shots 10.3 #16 of 20

Goals conceded 2.5 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.75 #8 of 20

Expected goals 1.13 #9 of 16

Shots 10.3 #16 of 20

On target 5.3 #6 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.5 #19 of 20

Expected against 2.34 #16 of 16

Shots faced 15.8 #19 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#14

Position

4

Points from 4 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
12	Espanyol	4	1	4
13	Racing Santander	4	-1	4
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-3	4
15	Getafe	4	-3	4
16	Celta Vigo	5	-3	3

Rayo Vallecano and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept20:00in 24h 24m
   Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept18:00in 4d
   Rayo Vallecano Espanyol

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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