G

Getafe

La Liga - Spain·16 of 20 in the table·9 points·Coliseum

Next match Getafe v Sevilla Sun 1 Nov, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Getafe — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

66.5

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

13th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sun 1 Nov13:00 Sevilla H — 3.20Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LDLWLD 5 pts from 6

A Athletic Club 0–4 -0.9

H Rayo Vallecano 1–1 -0.8

A Barcelona 0–3 -0.3

H Malaga 1–0 +1.4

A Real Betis 0–1 -0.9

H Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 -0.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.6 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation -2.6 #15 of 20

Expected goals against 1.64 #16 of 20

Shots 10.5 #19 of 20

Goals scored 0.5 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.5 #20 of 20

Expected goals 0.56 #20 of 20

Shots 10.5 #19 of 20

On target 2.5 #20 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.5 #11 of 20

Expected against 1.64 #16 of 20

Shots faced 14.8 #12 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

20%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

40%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

31%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 16 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

9

Points from 9 played

-6

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Elche	10	-3	10
15	Athletic Club	8	-1	9
16	Getafe	9	-6	9
17	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8

Getafe and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 1 Nov13:00in 5d
   Getafe Sevilla

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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