G

Getafe

La Liga - Spain·15 of 20 in the table·4 points·Coliseum

Next match Getafe v Deportivo La Coruña Sun 13 Sept, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Getafe — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

11th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept17:30 Deportivo La Coruña H — 2.58Betfair Exchange — Thu 17 Sept18:00 Real Betis A — 4.90Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 4

DLWL 4 pts from 4

H Celta Vigo 1–1 -0.6

A Osasuna 0–1 —

H Racing Santander 1–0 +1.3

A Alaves 0–3 -1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.4 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 1.25 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation -0.4 #15 of 19

Goals scored 0.5 #17 of 20

Expected goals against 1.65 #13 of 16

Shots 9.8 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.5 #17 of 20

Expected goals 0.71 #15 of 16

Shots 9.8 #17 of 20

On target 1.5 #20 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #5 of 20

Expected against 1.65 #13 of 16

Shots faced 12.5 #9 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #8 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

50%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

50%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#15

Position

4

Points from 4 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
13	Racing Santander	4	-1	4
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-3	4
15	Getafe	4	-3	4
16	Celta Vigo	5	-3	3
17	Villarreal	4	-2	2

Getafe and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept17:30in 45h 54m
   Getafe Deportivo La Coruña

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept18:00in 6d
   Real Betis Getafe

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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