Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LAL·Regular Season - 11·Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 UK·Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid· 20.3°C · 2.6 kph windAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Rayo VallecanovCelta Vigo
Sat 31 Oct, 15:15Rayo Vallecano2.35Casumo
Draw3.40Betfred (UK)
Celta Vigo3.10Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, MadridKickoff weather: 20.3°C · rain 0 mm · wind 2.6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLDDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elche (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elche CF (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | at Getafe (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-19 | at Getafe CF (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | at Osasuna (A) | 1-1 | D |
DWWWLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Real Betis (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-22 | at Celtic (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Alaves (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Deportivo Alavés (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Juventus (H) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 9 | 9 | -8 | LDDW |
| Celta Vigo | 9 | 11 | 9 | +3 | WDWDD |
Rayo Vallecano: 18 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
Celta Vigo: 16 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Rayo Vallecano 2 wins3 drawsCelta Vigo 1avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | RC Celta de Vigo v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-21 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v RC Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-18 | Celta v Vallecano | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-10 | Vallecano v Celta | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-31 | RC Celta de Vigo v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-31 | Celta v Vallecano | 0-0 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Rayo Vallecanosnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Ratiu | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Luiz Felipe | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Batalla | Missing Fixture | Broken calfbone |
| M. Kumbulla | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Nteka | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| J. de Frutos | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| I. Palazon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Perez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Vertrouwd | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Mendez | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Ratiu | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| Luiz Felipe | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Batalla | Missing Fixture | Broken calfbone |
| M. Kumbulla | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Ciss | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
Celta Vigosnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Vecino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Alonso | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Febas | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| B. Iglesias | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| I. Aspas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Starfelt | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Perez | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Nunez | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| P. Duran | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Roman | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. El Abdellaoui | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Antanon | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Vecino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Alonso | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Febas | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Rayo Vallecano play Celta Vigo?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.