CV

Celta Vigo

La Liga - Spain·9 of 20 in the table·11 points·Abanca-Balaídos

Next match Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo Sat 31 Oct, 15:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Celta Vigo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

65.6

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 31 Oct15:15 Rayo Vallecano A — 3.10Betfred — Thu 5 Nov20:00 Union Saint-Gilloise H — 2.05Betfred —

Form

last 6

DWDWDD 10 pts from 6

H Real Betis 0–0 -0.7

H Alaves 2–1 +1.1

A Elche 0–0 -0.4

H Racing Santander 5–0 +1.3

H Malaga 1–1 -0.8

A Getafe 1–1 -0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.7 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 5 #3 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1 #16 of 20

Shots on target 3.3 #17 of 20

Points over model expectation -2.7 #17 of 20

Expected goals for 0.59 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #16 of 20

Expected goals 0.59 #19 of 20

Shots 9.7 #20 of 20

On target 3.3 #17 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.7 #1 of 20

Expected against 1.49 #11 of 20

Shots faced 13.5 #9 of 20

Clean sheets 5 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 10 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 10 goals

10%

From the penalty spot

of 10 goals

29%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#9

Position

11

Points from 9 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	12
8	Villarreal	10	1	12
9	Celta Vigo	9	3	11
10	Deportivo La Coruna	10	0	11
11	Osasuna	9	-8	11

Celta Vigo and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct15:15in 5d
   Rayo Vallecano Celta Vigo

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 5 Nov20:00in 10d
   Celta Vigo Union Saint-Gilloise

   UEL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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