CV

Celta Vigo

La Liga - Spain·16 of 20 in the table·3 points·Abanca-Balaídos

Next match Celta Vigo v Málaga Sun 13 Sept, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Celta Vigo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

64.2

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

5

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept13:00 Málaga H — 1.77Smarkets — Wed 16 Sept17:45 Omonoia FC A — 1.95Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 5

DDLLD 3 pts from 5

A Getafe 1–1 -0.1

A Real Sociedad 0–0 +0.1

H Athletic Club 0–2 -1.6

H Osasuna 1–2 -1.8

A Valencia 0–0 +0.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.3 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #5 of 20

Possession 56.2% #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.4 #18 of 20

Expected goals against 1.97 #14 of 16

Shots on target 2.4 #18 of 20

Shots 8.4 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.4 #18 of 20

Expected goals 0.45 #16 of 16

Shots 8.4 #19 of 20

On target 2.4 #18 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 20

Expected against 1.97 #14 of 16

Shots faced 12.8 #11 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

3

Points from 5 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-3	4
15	Getafe	4	-3	4
16	Celta Vigo	5	-3	3
17	Villarreal	4	-2	2
18	Malaga	4	-6	2

Celta Vigo and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept13:00in 41h 24m
   Celta Vigo Málaga

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept17:45in 5d
   Omonoia Celta Vigo

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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