Elche CF v Valencia — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Elche CFvValencia
Sun 1 Nov, 17:30Elche CF2.56Betfair
Draw3.50Betfred (UK)
Valencia2.96Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 14 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWDDDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Rayo Vallecano (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Villarreal (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Celta Vigo (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs RC Celta de Vigo (H) | 0-0 | D |
LDDDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Villarreal (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Athletic Club (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | at Racing Santander (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Racing Club de Santander (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Real Sociedad (H) | 2-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche CF | 14 | 10 | 10 | -3 | WDDWL |
| Valencia | 19 | 6 | 10 | -10 | LDDLW |
Elche CF: 17 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
Valencia: 21 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Elche CF 1 win2 drawsValencia 3avg 2.2 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Elche CF v Valencia CF | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-10 | Valencia CF v Elche CF | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2023-04-23 | Elche v Valencia | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| 2022-10-15 | Valencia v Elche | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2022-03-19 | Elche v Valencia | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| 2021-12-11 | Valencia v Elche | 2-1 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Elche CFsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Aguado | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Redondo Solari | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Osorio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Boayar | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Aguado | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Redondo Solari | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Osorio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Boayar | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Redondo Solari | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Valenciasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Diakhaby | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Canos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Maffeo | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| U. Sadiq | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. De Haas | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Rioja | Missing Fixture | Heel Injury |
| D. Foulquier | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Lopez | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Copete | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Mari | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| C. Tarrega | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Diakhaby | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Canos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Elche CF play Valencia?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 14 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.