Sevilla v CA Osasuna — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LAL·Regular Season - 10·Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 UK·Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville· 20.3°C · 3.7 kph wind·Miguel Angel Ortiz AriasAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Sevilla2–0CA Osasuna
Full timeSevilla1.93Smarkets
Draw3.55Smarkets
CA Osasuna4.80Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, SevilleReferee: Miguel Angel Ortiz AriasKickoff weather: 20.3°C · rain 0 mm · wind 3.7 kph
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias — referee history (37 matches counted):
4.03 yellows/game · 0.32 reds/game · 0.27 pens/game · home win 38%
— from the engine's stored match events, not a third-party rating.
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
Built from the 14 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Sevilla. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · FT · HT 1–0
La Liga · Regular Season - 10
- 24' Normal Goal Isaac Romero (Youssouf Fofana)
- 29' Yellow Card — Foul Alejandro Catena
- 55' Yellow Card — Dissent Isaac Romero
- 63' Substitution 1 Rubén García (Raul Moro)
- 63' Substitution 2 Jonathan Dubasin (Raul García)
- 63' Substitution 1 Lucas Stassin (Robbie Ure)
- 68' Yellow Card — Foul Valentin Rosier
- 71' Substitution 2 Chidera Ejuke (Rubén Vargas)
- 71' Substitution 3 Isaac Romero (Manuel Bueno Sebastián)
- 79' Substitution 3 Lucas Torró (Asier Osambela)
- 79' Substitution 4 Moi Gómez (Enrique Barja Alfonso)
- 79' Substitution 5 Valentin Rosier (Íñigo Arguibide)
- 82' Normal Goal Felix Correia (Youssouf Fofana)
- 86' Substitution 4 Felix Correia (José Ángel Carmona)
Sevilla above the axis, CA Osasuna below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Post-match statistics
SevillaCA Osasuna
44%
Possession
56%
17
Shots
10
7
On target
2
1.18
xG
0.79
7
Corners
4
11
Fouls
8
1
Yellow cards
2
Counted post-match from the stored statistics feed — not live, never estimated; absent stats stay absent.
Form and league position
WLDDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | vs Osasuna (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Real Madrid (A) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | at Levante (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-10-12 | at Levante UD (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Aston Villa (H) | 1-3 | L |
LWWLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 2.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | at Sevilla (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Racing Santander (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Real Racing Club de Santander (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Betis (A) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Betis Balompié (A) | 2-5 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 6 | 14 | 9 | -2 | LDLWW |
| CA Osasuna | 11 | 11 | 9 | -8 | WLDLL |
Sevilla: 13 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 20th
CA Osasuna: 16 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Sevilla 1 win3 drawsCA Osasuna 2avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 17%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | CA Osasuna v Sevilla FC | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-08 | Sevilla FC v CA Osasuna | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-24 | Osasuna v Sevilla | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-02 | Sevilla v Osasuna | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-28 | Sevilla FC v CA Osasuna | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-28 | Sevilla v Osasuna | 1-1 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
Sevillasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Marcao | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Stassin | Questionable | Injury |
| J. Guridi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Munoz | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Sierra | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
CA Osasunasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Herrando | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Oroz | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Bonel | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| R. Del Castillo | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 12 Oct, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
Villarreal v EspanyolLevante v Atlético MadridRayo Vallecano v Celta VigoReal Betis v MálagaBarcelona v AlavésGetafe v Sevilla
Frequently asked questions
When do Sevilla play CA Osasuna?
Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.