Sevilla

La Liga - Spain6 of 20 in the table14 pointsRamón Sánchez-Pizjuán

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sevilla — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
64.7
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLDLWW 10 pts from 6
H Osasuna 2–0 +1.0
A Real Madrid 1–4 -0.5
A Levante 3–3 -0.4
H Barcelona 1–3 -1.0
A Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 +2.0
H Valencia 1–0 +1.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 9 17
+3.4 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 1.6 #6 of 20
Shots faced 12.4 #6 of 20
Points over model expectation 3.4 #6 of 20
Weaknesses
Possession 41.6% #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.6 #6 of 20
Expected goals 1.35 #10 of 20
Shots 12.4 #12 of 20
On target 4.6 #11 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.6 #12 of 20
Expected against 1.53 #13 of 20
Shots faced 12.4 #6 of 20
Clean sheets 3 #9 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
25%
Scored before half time
of 16 goals
38%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 16 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 16 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 16 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (32 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LAL La Liga - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
#6
Position
14
Points from 9 played
-2
Goal difference
#TeamPlGDPts
4 Real Betis 9219
5 Real Sociedad 9016
6 Sevilla 9-214
7 Alaves 10312
8 Villarreal 10112
Sevilla and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.
Home ground: Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán gazetteer
Recorded form WLDDLL last 12: 1.42 scored / 2 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H Osasuna 2-0 W · A Real Madrid 1-4 L · A Levante 3-3 D · A Levante UD 3-3 D · H Aston Villa 1-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov13:00in 5d
    Getafe crestGetafe Sevilla crestSevilla
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Juanlu Sánchez to Bournemouth Transfer 2026-08-05
OUT Juanlu Sánchez to Bournemouth Transfer 2026-08-04
IN Julio Díaz del Romo from Atletico Madrid Transfer 2026-07-27
IN Julio Díaz del Romo from Atletico Madrid Transfer 2026-07-26
IN César Azpilicueta from Atletico Madrid Free agent 2025-08-28
IN O. Vlachodimos from Newcastle Loan 2025-08-12
OUT Saúl to Atletico Madrid Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT A. Sambi Lokonga to Arsenal Back from Loan 2025-07-01
IN Rafa Mir from Valencia Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT A. Sambi Lokonga to Arsenal Return from loan 2025-06-29

League position (stored standings)

6th with 14 points from 9 played · goal difference -2 · unchanged since 20 Oct
From recorded standings snapshots — observations, not projections.
Team data: fresh · collected 8 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-26 Sevilla v CA Osasuna Sevilla to Win 1.93 → 1.99 -3% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

La Liga - Spain Next: Getafe v Sevilla Search Sevilla matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Sevilla play next?
Sevilla's next fixture in the snapshot is Getafe v Sevilla on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 UK time (La Liga - Spain).