S

Sevilla

La Liga - Spain·6 of 20 in the table·7 points·Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán

Next match Sevilla v Valencia Fri 11 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sevilla — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

63.4

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

5th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Fri 11 Sept20:00 Valencia H — 2.04Smarkets — Sun 13 Sept20:00 Valencia H — 2.25Sky Bet — Wed 16 Sept18:00 Deportivo La Coruña A — 3.20Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 4

DLWW 7 pts from 4

A Espanyol 1–1 -0.2

H Atletico Madrid 1–3 -1.4

A Athletic Club 3–1 +1.9

H Rayo Vallecano 2–1 +0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.1 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.75 #7 of 20

Shots faced 12 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Possession 42.5% #18 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.75 #7 of 20

Expected goals 1.19 #8 of 16

Shots 11.8 #11 of 20

On target 4 #13 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.5 #13 of 20

Expected against 1.36 #8 of 16

Shots faced 12 #7 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #19 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

14%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

29%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

29%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

17%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (13 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#6

Position

7

Points from 4 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
4	Real Betis	4	0	9
5	Deportivo La Coruna	4	3	8
6	Sevilla	4	1	7
7	Atletico Madrid	4	1	7
8	Osasuna	4	-1	7

Sevilla and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 11 Sept20:00in 24m
   Sevilla Valencia

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 13 Sept20:00in 2d
   Sevilla Valencia

   LAL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Wed 16 Sept18:00in 5d
   Deportivo La Coruña Sevilla

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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