RB

Real Betis

La Liga - Spain·4 of 20 in the table·9 points·Benito Villamarín

Next match Villarreal v Real Betis Mon 14 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Real Betis — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 1 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Mon 14 Sept20:00 Villarreal A — 3.95Grosvenor — Thu 17 Sept18:00 Getafe H — 1.85Sky Bet —

Form

last 4

WLWW 9 pts from 4

H Real Madrid 1–0 +2.0

A Levante 2–5 -1.3

A Valencia 1–0 +2.2

H Real Sociedad 1–0 +1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.3 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 3 #2 of 20

Shots 15.8 #3 of 20

Points over model expectation 4.3 #3 of 19

Shots on target 5.3 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.25 #15 of 20

Shots faced 16 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.25 #15 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 15.8 #3 of 20

On target 5.3 #7 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #10 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 16 #20 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

40%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

9

Points from 4 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Alaves	4	7	10
3	Real Madrid	4	7	9
4	Real Betis	4	0	9
5	Deportivo La Coruna	4	3	8
6	Sevilla	4	1	7

Real Betis and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 14 Sept20:00in 3d
   Villarreal Real Betis

   LAL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept18:00in 6d
   Real Betis Getafe

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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