RB

Real Betis

La Liga - Spain·4 of 20 in the table·19 points·Benito Villamarín

Next match Real Betis v Málaga Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Real Betis — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

64.9

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

11th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 31 Oct17:30 Málaga H — 1.40Smarkets — Wed 4 Nov20:00 Borussia Dortmund A — 4.33BoyleSports —

Form

last 6

DLWDWW 11 pts from 6

A Celta Vigo 0–0 0.0

H Barcelona 2–5 -0.9

H Osasuna 5–2 +1.1

A Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 0.0

H Getafe 1–0 +1.3

A Villarreal 2–1 +2.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+8.0 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 8 #3 of 20

Clean sheets 5 #4 of 20

Shots 16.3 #5 of 20

Shots on target 5.9 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Expected goals against 1.6 #14 of 20

Shots faced 15.1 #14 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.6 #7 of 20

Expected goals 1.39 #9 of 20

Shots 16.3 #5 of 20

On target 5.9 #5 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.4 #10 of 20

Expected against 1.6 #14 of 20

Shots faced 15.1 #14 of 20

Clean sheets 5 #4 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

60%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

7%

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 16 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

19

Points from 9 played

+2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Atletico Madrid	10	12	25
3	Real Madrid	9	14	21
4	Real Betis	9	2	19
5	Real Sociedad	9	0	16
6	Sevilla	9	-2	14

Real Betis and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct17:30in 5d
   Real Betis Málaga

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 4 Nov20:00in 9d
   Borussia Dortmund Real Betis

   UCL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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