RS

Real Sociedad

La Liga - Spain·5 of 20 in the table·16 points·Reale Arena (Anoeta)

Next match Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad Sun 1 Nov, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Real Sociedad — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

69.4

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

12th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 1 Nov20:00 Athletic Bilbao A — 3.60Casumo — Thu 5 Nov17:45 Lyon H — 1.96Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WWWWLW 15 pts from 6

H Levante 2–1 +1.0

A Malaga 5–2 +1.8

H Deportivo La Coruna 3–2 +1.3

A Valencia 3–2 +2.1

H Atletico Madrid 0–3 -1.3

A Elche 3–2 +1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+7.1 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.9 #4 of 20

Expected goals for 1.69 #4 of 20

Points over model expectation 7.1 #4 of 20

Shots on target 5.2 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.8 #15 of 20

Shots faced 15.5 #16 of 20

Expected goals against 1.64 #17 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.9 #4 of 20

Expected goals 1.69 #4 of 20

Shots 14.4 #8 of 20

On target 5.2 #6 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.8 #15 of 20

Expected against 1.64 #17 of 20

Shots faced 15.5 #16 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #17 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

55%

Scored before half time

of 20 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 20 goals

5%

From the penalty spot

of 20 goals

24%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 17 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (37 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#5

Position

16

Points from 9 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
3	Real Madrid	9	14	21
4	Real Betis	9	2	19
5	Real Sociedad	9	0	16
6	Sevilla	9	-2	14
7	Alaves	10	3	12

Real Sociedad and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 1 Nov20:00in 6d
   Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad

   LAL

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 10d
   Real Sociedad Lyon

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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