RS

Real Sociedad

La Liga - Spain·9 of 20 in the table·7 points·Reale Arena (Anoeta)

Next match Real Sociedad v Atlético Madrid Sun 13 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Real Sociedad — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

60.1

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

7th

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

5

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept20:00 Atlético Madrid H — 3.00Smarkets — Thu 17 Sept20:00 Bournemouth H — 2.75William Hill —

Form

last 5

WDWLL 7 pts from 5

A Elche 3–2 +1.5

H Celta Vigo 0–0 -0.8

H Espanyol 2–1 —

A Real Madrid 1–4 -0.5

A Real Betis 0–1 -1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.2 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots on target 5.4 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.6 #14 of 20

Goals scored 1.2 #16 of 20

Shots faced 15.2 #18 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.2 #16 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 13 #8 of 20

On target 5.4 #5 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.6 #14 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 15.2 #18 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

17%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

13%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#9

Position

7

Points from 5 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
7	Atletico Madrid	4	1	7
8	Osasuna	4	-1	7
9	Real Sociedad	5	-2	7
10	Athletic Club	4	1	6
11	Levante	4	0	5

Real Sociedad and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept20:00in 2d
   Real Sociedad Atlético Madrid

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6d
   Real Sociedad Bournemouth

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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