Como v Parma — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SA·Regular Season - 4·Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK·Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como· 26.1°C · 9.1 kph wind·G. MuceraAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
ComovParma
Mon 14 Sept, 17:30Como1.35William Hill
Draw5.00Betfred (UK)
Parma10.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 7 bookmakers · prices observed 10 d ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, ComoReferee: G. MuceraKickoff weather: 26.1°C · rain 0 mm · wind 9.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | vs RB Leipzig (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Genoa (A) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Napoli (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at Udinese (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-16 | at Liverpool (A) | 0-0 | D |
DLLLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Monza (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-01 | vs Cremonese (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Juventus (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Cagliari (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-14 | vs Catania (H) | 2-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 4 | 7 | 3 | +4 | WWD |
| Parma | 16 | 1 | 3 | -3 | DLL |
Como: 2 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 20th
Parma: 8 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Como 1 win2 drawsParma 1avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 25%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Parma v Como | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-10-19 | Como v Parma | 1-1 | Serie A |
| 2003-02-09 | Como v Parma | 2-2 | Serie A |
| 2002-09-22 | Parma v Como | 2-0 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Comosnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| J. Addai | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
Parmasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 2 Sept, 05:55 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Venezia v FiorentinaGenoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanAtalanta BC v CagliariLecce v Monza
Frequently asked questions
When do Como play Parma?
Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 10 d ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.