Cray Wanderers FC v Stockport County FC — FA Cup prediction, odds and analysis
FACAt a glance
Model edge
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Market fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Cray Wanderers FC2–3Stockport County FC
Full timeCray Wanderers FC15.50Smarkets
Draw9.40Betfair
Stockport County FC1.20Matchbook
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 5 d ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Flamingo Park, Chislehurst
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
Built from the 21 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Cray Wanderers FC. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · AET · HT 2–0
FA Cup · 1/128-finals
- 21' Normal Goal Sammie McLeod (Ola Ogunwamide)
- 31' Red Card Luca·Ashby-Hammond
- 34' Substitution 1 Che Gardner (oliver whatmuff)
- 36' Normal Goal Alex Hernandez
- 45' Substitution 2 Benoný Breki Andrésson (Jack Diamond)
- 45' Substitution 3 Tom Wilson-Brown (Ethan Pye)
- 50' Yellow Card — Foul Eoghan O'Connell
- 51' Yellow Card — Foul Ethan Pye
- 61' Substitution 4 Jason Adigun (Kyle Wootton)
- 69' Yellow Card — Foul Alex Hernandez
- 79' Substitution 1 Ola Ogunwamide (Lateef Adaja)
- 80' Substitution 2 Frankie Raymond (Seidou Sanogo)
- 81' Normal Goal Kyle Wootton (Josh Cogley)
- 84' Substitution 3 Bayli Spencer Adams (Tobi Tinubu)
- 86' Substitution 4 Rashid Yussuff (Saul kader)
- 90+1' Normal Goal Mikael Mandron
- 90' Substitution 5 Josh Cogley (Jade Jay Mingi)
- 101' Penalty Lewis Fiorini
- 102' Substitution 5 Alex Hernandez (Alfie·Payne)
- 103' Substitution 6 John Ufuah (Shae Hutchinson)
- 105' Substitution 6 Mikael Mandron (Richard Ilara)
Cray Wanderers FC above the axis, Stockport County FC below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
WDWWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.08 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | vs Three Bridges (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-11-08 | vs Stockport County (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-31 | at Brentwood Town (A) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at Berkhamsted (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | vs Bedford Town (H) | 1-1 | D |
DDWLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | vs Tranmere (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-11-08 | at Cray Wanderers (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-31 | vs AFC Wimbledon (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-27 | at Oxford United (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | at Notts County (A) | 1-1 | D |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a cup tie, so none is shown.
| Round | 1/128-finals |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 8 Nov, 08:02 · model run 2 Nov, 08:08
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Frequently asked questions
When do Cray Wanderers FC play Stockport County FC?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:15 UK time in the FA Cup.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 November at 08:06 UK time. · engine slate assembled 5 d ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.