Elche CF v Real Madrid — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Elche CFvReal Madrid
Tue 15 Sept, 20:30Elche CF11.00Betfair
Draw6.20Betfair
Real Madrid1.33Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 7 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Martínez Valero · cap 33,732 (home ground — gazetteer)
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | vs Real Sociedad (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | at Racing Santander (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | at Real Racing Club de Santander (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Barcelona (H) | 0-5 | L |
WWLLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.25 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | vs Inter (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-08 | vs FC Internazionale Milano (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Real Betis (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-04 | at Real Betis Balompié (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Malaga (H) | 4-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche CF | 19 | 1 | 4 | -7 | LLLD |
| Real Madrid | 3 | 9 | 4 | +7 | LWWW |
Elche CF: 11 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
Real Madrid: 3 pts behind 1st · 8 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Elche CF 0 wins2 drawsReal Madrid 4avg 3.8 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 100%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Real Madrid CF v Elche CF | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-23 | Elche CF v Real Madrid CF | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2023-02-15 | Real Madrid v Elche | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| 2022-10-19 | Elche v Real Madrid | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| 2022-01-23 | Real Madrid v Elche | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2021-10-30 | Elche v Real Madrid | 1-2 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Elche CFsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Osorio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Boayar | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Osorio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Boayar | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Lemar | Questionable | Coach's decision |
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Santiago | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Osorio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Boayar | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| T. Lemar | Questionable | Coach's decision |
| G. Diangana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Real Madridsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Eder Militao | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| F. Mendy | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| A. Tchouameni | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Rodrygo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Asencio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Endrick | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Pitarch | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Eder Militao | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| F. Mendy | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| A. Tchouameni | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Rodrygo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Asencio | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Endrick | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Pitarch | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Eder Militao | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 12 Sept, 07:04 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Elche CF play Real Madrid?
Kick-off is Tue 15 Sept, 20:30 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 7 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.