Fiorentina v Napoli — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
FiorentinavNapoli
Sun 20 Sept, 11:30Fiorentina3.45Betfair
Draw3.45Betfair
Napoli2.25Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, FlorenceKickoff weather: 24.8°C · rain 0 mm · wind 11 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.17 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Torino (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Frosinone (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-24 | at AS Roma (A) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-14 | vs Benevento (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-06 | vs Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 1-1 | D |
LLLLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Arsenal (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Inter (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at FC Internazionale Milano (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Como (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Como 1907 (H) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 20 | 0 | 3 | -8 | LLL |
| Napoli | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | LLW |
Fiorentina: 9 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
Napoli: 6 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Fiorentina 1 win2 drawsNapoli 3avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | Napoli v Fiorentina | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2025-01-04 | Fiorentina v Napoli | 0-3 | Serie A |
| 2024-05-17 | Fiorentina v Napoli | 2-2 | Serie A |
| 2023-10-08 | Napoli v Fiorentina | 1-3 | Serie A |
| 2023-05-07 | Napoli v Fiorentina | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2022-08-28 | Fiorentina v Napoli | 0-0 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Fiorentinasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Kean | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| C. Inao Oulai | Questionable | Injury |
| F. Croci | Questionable | Injury |
| M. Kean | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Kean | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Kean | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Kean | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
Napolisnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. McTominay | Missing Fixture | Heart Problems |
| A. Buongiorno | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Mazzocchi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Folorunsho | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Giovane | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| L. Marianucci | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. McTominay | Missing Fixture | Heart Problems |
| A. Buongiorno | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Mazzocchi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Folorunsho | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Giovane | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| L. Marianucci | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. McTominay | Missing Fixture | Heart Problems |
| A. Buongiorno | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Mazzocchi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Fiorentina play Napoli?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 11:30 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.