Leeds United v Crystal Palace — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Leeds UnitedvCrystal Palace
Sun 20 Sept, 14:00Leeds United2.10Betfair
Draw3.70Betfair
Crystal Palace3.70Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Elland Road, Leeds
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LDDWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | at Chelsea (A) | 3-6 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Brighton (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Brentford (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-25 | at Nottingham Forest (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at Nottingham Forest (A) | 1-0 | W |
WWLLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | vs Middlesbrough (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Fulham (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Manchester City (H) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Everton (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | at SC Freiburg (A) | 0-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 9 | 5 | 3 | +1 | DDW |
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 3 | 3 | -4 | WLL |
Leeds United: 4 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
Crystal Palace: 6 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Leeds United 2 wins2 drawsCrystal Palace 2avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Crystal Palace FC v Leeds United FC | 0-0 | Premier League |
| 2025-12-20 | Leeds United FC v Crystal Palace FC | 4-1 | Premier League |
| 2023-04-09 | Leeds v Crystal Palace | 1-5 | Premier League |
| 2022-10-09 | Crystal Palace v Leeds | 2-1 | Premier League |
| 2022-04-25 | Crystal Palace v Leeds | 0-0 | Premier League |
| 2021-11-30 | Leeds v Crystal Palace | 1-0 | Premier League |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Leeds Unitedsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Rodon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| I. Gruev | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| W. Gnonto | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Joseph | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Rodon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| I. Gruev | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| W. Gnonto | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Joseph | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Rodon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| I. Gruev | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| W. Gnonto | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Joseph | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Crystal Palacesnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| I. Sarr | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Sarr | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Sarr | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Sarr | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Sarr | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Mateta | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| C. Riad | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 6 Sept, 07:06 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More EPL fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Leeds United play Crystal Palace?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.