Liverpool v Fulham — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LiverpoolvFulham
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00Liverpool1.48Betfair
Draw5.30Betfair
Fulham7.20Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Anfield, LiverpoolKickoff weather: 20.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 24.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Ipswich (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Ipswich Town FC (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Nottingham Forest (H) | 2-2 | D |
LLWLWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Crystal Palace (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Sunderland (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-27 | vs AFC Wimbledon (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Chelsea (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | vs VfB Stuttgart (H) | 1-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 3 | +2 | WDD |
| Fulham | 19 | 0 | 3 | -3 | LLL |
Liverpool: 4 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
Fulham: 9 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Liverpool 3 wins2 drawsFulham 1avg 3.8 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Liverpool FC v Fulham FC | 2-0 | Premier League |
| 2026-01-04 | Fulham FC v Liverpool FC | 2-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-04-06 | Fulham v Liverpool | 3-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-12-14 | Liverpool v Fulham | 2-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-21 | Fulham FC v Liverpool FC | 1-3 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-21 | Fulham v Liverpool | 1-3 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Liverpoolsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Gomez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| H. Elliott | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| F. Chiesa | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| H. Ekitike | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| C. Bradley | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Bajcetic | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| G. Leoni | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Gomez | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Elliott | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| F. Chiesa | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| H. Ekitike | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| C. Bradley | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Bajcetic | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| G. Leoni | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Gomez | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Fulhamsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More EPL fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Liverpool play Fulham?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.