Parma v Genoa — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
ParmavGenoa
Sun 20 Sept, 14:00Parma3.20Betfair
Draw3.10Betfred (UK)
Genoa2.60Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 18 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, ParmaKickoff weather: 28.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 8.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DLLLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Monza (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-01 | vs Cremonese (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Juventus (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Cagliari (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-14 | vs Catania (H) | 2-0 | W |
LLLWLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 2.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | vs Como (H) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Lazio (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Napoli (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Ascoli (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-08 | vs Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 0-1 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 16 | 1 | 3 | -3 | DLL |
| Genoa | 19 | 0 | 3 | -6 | LLL |
Parma: 8 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
Genoa: 9 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Parma 3 wins0 drawsGenoa 3avg 3.2 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | Genoa v Parma | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2024-11-04 | Parma v Genoa | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2021-03-19 | Parma v Genoa | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2020-11-30 | Genoa v Parma | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2020-06-23 | Genoa v Parma | 1-4 | Serie A |
| 2019-10-20 | Parma v Genoa | 5-1 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Parmasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
Genoasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Venturino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Venturino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Venturino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Genoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanAtalanta BC v CagliariLecce v MonzaNapoli v Bologna
Frequently asked questions
When do Parma play Genoa?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 18 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.