Real Sociedad v Atlético Madrid — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Real SociedadvAtlético Madrid
Sun 13 Sept, 20:00Real Sociedad3.00Smarkets
Draw3.65Grosvenor
Atlético Madrid2.54Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Anoeta, San SebastianKickoff weather: 21.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 2.9 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWDDLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | at Elche (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | at Elche CF (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Celta Vigo (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs RC Celta de Vigo (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Chelsea (H) | 0-1 | L |
WLLLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | at San Antonio (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | at Liverpool (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | at Liverpool FC (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Athletic Club (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Athletic Club (A) | 0-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 9 | 7 | 5 | -2 | WDWLL |
| Atlético Madrid | 7 | 7 | 4 | +1 | LWDW |
Real Sociedad: 5 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Atlético Madrid: 5 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Real Sociedad 0 wins2 drawsAtlético Madrid 4avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Club Atlético de Madrid v Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol v Club Atlético de Madrid | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-10 | Ath Madrid v Sociedad | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-06 | Sociedad v Ath Madrid | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-25 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol v Club Atlético de Madrid | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-25 | Sociedad v Ath Madrid | 0-2 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Real Sociedadsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Odriozola | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| G. Guedes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Pacheco | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Gorrotxategi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| P. Marin | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Fort | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| A. Odriozola | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| G. Guedes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Pacheco | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Gorrotxategi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| P. Marin | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Fort | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| A. Odriozola | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| G. Guedes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Pacheco | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
Atlético Madridsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| T. Lemar | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Alvarez | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| A. Sorloth | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Romero | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| R. Le Normand | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| O. Vargas | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| T. Lemar | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Alvarez | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| A. Sorloth | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Romero | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| R. Le Normand | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| O. Vargas | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Alvarez | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| A. Sorloth | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Romero | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Real Sociedad play Atlético Madrid?
Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.