Sassuolo v Fiorentina — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SassuolovFiorentina
Mon 2 Nov, 17:30Sassuolo2.50Betfred (UK)
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Fiorentina2.65Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 11 bookmakers · prices observed 17 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Mapei Stadium · cap 21,584 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 10.2°C · rain 0 mm · wind 1.6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLDLWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Como (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-16 | at Frosinone (A) | 2-4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs AC Milan (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-18 | at Monza (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Juventus (H) | 3-2 | W |
LLLDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Inter (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Como (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Genoa (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Napoli (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Pisa (H) | 3-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 14 | 8 | 8 | -4 | LLDLW |
| Fiorentina | 18 | 4 | 7 | -9 | LLDWL |
Sassuolo: 14 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
Fiorentina: 18 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Sassuolo 2 wins1 drawFiorentina 3avg 3.5 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-28 | Fiorentina v Sassuolo | 5-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-01-06 | Sassuolo v Fiorentina | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2023-06-02 | Sassuolo v Fiorentina | 1-3 | Serie A |
| 2023-01-07 | Fiorentina v Sassuolo | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2022-02-26 | Sassuolo v Fiorentina | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2021-12-19 | Fiorentina v Sassuolo | 2-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Sassuolosnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Berardi | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Pinamonti | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Idzes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Walukiewicz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Cande | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Paz | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Leysen | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Boloca | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Kone | Missing Fixture | Broken Leg |
| C. Volpato | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| E. Pieragnolo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Berardi | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Pinamonti | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. Idzes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Walukiewicz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Fiorentinasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| L. Ranieri | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Atta | Missing Fixture | Abdominal strain |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| L. Ranieri | Questionable | Leg Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Atta | Questionable | Abdominal strain |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| L. Ranieri | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Atta | Missing Fixture | Abdominal strain |
| R. Sottil | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| F. Parisi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Atta | Missing Fixture | Abdominal strain |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Sassuolo play Fiorentina?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 17 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.