Sevilla v Alavés — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LAL·Regular Season - 12·Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 UK·Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán· 16.9°C · 14.4 kph wind · 0.1 mm rainAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SevillavAlavés
Fri 6 Nov, 20:00Sevilla2.12Casumo
Draw3.30Betfred (UK)
Alavés3.75Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 13 bookmakers · prices observed 1 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · cap 43,883 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 16.9°C · rain 0.1 mm · wind 14.4 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLDDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | vs Osasuna (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Real Madrid (A) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | at Levante (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-10-12 | at Levante UD (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Aston Villa (H) | 1-3 | L |
DLLDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | vs Malaga (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at Celta Vigo (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | at Athletic Club (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Valencia (H) | 0-1 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 6 | 14 | 9 | -2 | LDLWW |
| Alavés | 7 | 12 | 10 | +3 | DLLDL |
Sevilla: 13 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 20th
Alavés: 15 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Sevilla 0 wins3 drawsAlavés 3avg 3.5 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | Sevilla v Alaves | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-20 | Alaves v Sevilla | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-12 | Sevilla v Alaves | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| 2023-08-21 | Alaves v Sevilla | 4-3 | Primera Division |
| 2022-03-04 | Alaves v Sevilla | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2021-11-20 | Sevilla v Alaves | 2-2 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Sevillasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Marcao | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Vargas | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Guridi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Gonzalez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Kochorashvili | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Sangante | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| I. Romero | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| K. Salas | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| L. Stassin | Questionable | Injury |
| M. Sierra | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| I. Munoz | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Guillen | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| Marcao | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Vargas | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Guridi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Alavéssnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Garces | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| T. Martinez | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| N. Valentini | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Mendes | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Manas | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Perez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| M. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| F. Garces | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| T. Martinez | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| N. Valentini | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Mendes | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Manas | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Perez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| M. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| F. Garces | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 29 Oct, 08:08 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Sevilla play Alavés?
Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 29 October at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 1 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.