The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Sparta Rotterdam
—
—
2.48
—
Draw
—
—
3.80
—
Heerenveen
—
—
2.70
—
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Heerenveen
Grosvenor
2.48BEST
3.80BEST
2.55
Casumo
2.43
3.75
2.55
Unibet (UK)
2.38
3.60
2.70BEST
Virgin Bet
2.38
3.60
2.48
LiveScore Bet
2.35
3.55
2.45
888sport
2.30
3.40
2.70BEST
William Hill
2.30
3.40
2.70BEST
Betfred (UK)
2.30
3.75
2.60
Paddy Power
2.20
3.75
2.50
BoyleSports
2.20
3.75
2.50
Smarkets
2.20
3.25
2.48
Sky Bet
2.15
3.50
2.45
12 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 12 h ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
No sharp reference held for this fixture — fair odds fall back to devigged consensus, labelled.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Sparta Rotterdam — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 2Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Sparta Rotterdam
Fewer than 5 settled results — a rate would be noise, so none is shown.
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Best price — Sparta Rotterdam: 2 observations, 2.35 → 2.48
Show the numbers
Observed
Series
Price
10 Sept, 07:07
Best price — Sparta Rotterdam
2.48
9 Sept, 22:01
Best price — Sparta Rotterdam
2.35
More about this fixture
other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.
ERE