Venezia v Lazio — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
VeneziavLazio
Sat 19 Sept, 19:45Venezia3.15Betfair
Draw3.50Betfred (UK)
Lazio2.45Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, VeniceKickoff weather: 21.6°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4.9 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.5 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Frosinone (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | at Frosinone Calcio (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-02 | at Udinese (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | at AC Milan (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Lecce (H) | 0-2 | L |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.33 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | at Udinese (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | at Udinese Calcio (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Genoa (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Genoa CFC (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | at Bologna (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 18 | 0 | 3 | -5 | LLL |
| Lazio | 3 | 9 | 3 | +3 | WWW |
Venezia: 9 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
Lazio: level on points with 1st · 9 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Venezia 0 wins2 drawsLazio 4avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Venezia v Lazio | 0-0 | Serie A |
| 2024-08-18 | Lazio v Venezia | 3-1 | Serie A |
| 2022-03-14 | Lazio v Venezia | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2021-12-22 | Venezia v Lazio | 1-3 | Serie A |
| 2002-03-03 | Lazio v Venezia | 4-2 | Serie A |
| 2001-10-21 | Venezia v Lazio | 0-0 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Veneziasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Adorante | Missing Fixture | Hernia |
| T. Basic | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| B. Franjic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Bella-Kotchap | Questionable | Injury |
| M. Sverko | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| A. Duncan | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Moreno | Missing Fixture | Health problems |
| A. Adorante | Missing Fixture | Hernia |
| T. Basic | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| B. Franjic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Sverko | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| A. Duncan | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Moreno | Missing Fixture | Health problems |
| A. Adorante | Missing Fixture | Hernia |
| T. Basic | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
Laziosnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Gigot | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Patric | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Marusic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Cataldi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Rovella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Furlanetto | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Dele-Bashiru | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Gigot | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Patric | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Marusic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Cataldi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Rovella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Furlanetto | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Venezia v FiorentinaGenoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanAtalanta BC v CagliariLecce v Monza
Frequently asked questions
When do Venezia play Lazio?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.