Sevilla v Valencia — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SevillavValencia
Fri 11 Sept, 20:00Sevilla2.04Smarkets
Draw3.40Smarkets
Valencia4.50Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
FLAGGED — our pick
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · cap 43,883 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 31.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 8.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Espanyol (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | at RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Athletic Club (A) | 3-1 | W |
LLLLDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Barcelona (H) | 0-5 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Deportivo La Coruna (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-25 | vs Real Betis (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-25 | vs Real Betis Balompié (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs RC Celta de Vigo (H) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 6 | 7 | 4 | +1 | DLWW |
| Valencia | 20 | 1 | 4 | -8 | LLLD |
Sevilla: 5 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Valencia: 11 pts behind 1st · level on points with 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Sevilla 0 wins4 drawsValencia 2avg 1.2 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 0%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla FC v Valencia CF | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| 2025-12-07 | Valencia CF v Sevilla FC | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-11 | Valencia v Sevilla | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-11 | Sevilla v Valencia | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-17 | Valencia CF v Sevilla FC | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-17 | Valencia v Sevilla | 0-0 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Sevillasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Marcao | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| R. Vargas | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Sangante | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Valenciasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Canos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Copete | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| D. Foulquier | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| D. Lopez | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Rioja | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| J. De Haas | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| U. Sadiq | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Diakhaby | Questionable | Injury |
| J. Vazquez | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
Real Racing Club de Santander v AlavésCA Osasuna v EspanyolAthletic Bilbao v Elche CFReal Madrid v Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo v MálagaLevante v Barcelona
Frequently asked questions
When do Sevilla play Valencia?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.