1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Reliability
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1. FC KölnvBayer Leverkusen
Sun 8 Nov, 14:301. FC Köln4.35Casumo
Draw4.50Betfred (UK)
Bayer Leverkusen1.67Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 22 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: RheinEnergieStadion, CologneKickoff weather: 10.8°C · rain 0 mm · wind 15.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WDLWLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | vs Union Berlin (H) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs FC Schalke 04 (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | at VfL Wolfsburg (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Hamburger SV (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 0-1 | L |
LWLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | vs VfB Stuttgart (H) | 2-4 | L |
| 2026-10-28 | vs 1. FC Nürnberg (H) | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | at 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at TSG Hoffenheim (A) | 0-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 14 | 8 | 7 | -3 | DLWLD |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 13 | 8 | +2 | LLWWW |
1. FC Köln: 10 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
Bayer Leverkusen: 5 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-11-01.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
1. FC Köln 0 wins0 drawsBayer Leverkusen 6avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Köln v Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-13 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v 1. FC Köln | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-03 | 1. FC Köln v Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-03 | FC Koln v Leverkusen | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v 1. FC Köln | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-08 | Leverkusen v FC Koln | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
1. FC Kölnsnapshot 2026-11-01
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Castro-Montes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Skhiri | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Waldschmidt | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Ache | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| I. Rondic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Hubers | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Dallinga | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Sebulonsen | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. van den Berg | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. El Mala | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| P. Okon-Engstler | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Castro-Montes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Skhiri | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Waldschmidt | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Ache | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Bayer Leverkusensnapshot 2026-11-01
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Diaby | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| L. Bade | Missing Fixture | Head Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Culbreath | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| K. Eichhorn | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| C. Kofane | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Diaby | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| L. Bade | Missing Fixture | Head Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 31 Oct, 08:00 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-11-01
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnEintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SVHamburger SV v Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia Dortmund v ElversbergSC Paderborn v Eintracht FrankfurtRB Leipzig v Augsburg
Frequently asked questions
When do 1. FC Köln play Bayer Leverkusen?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 31 October at 08:00 UK time. · engine slate assembled 22 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.