Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Reliability
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AugsburgvBayer Leverkusen
Sat 12 Sept, 14:30Augsburg4.30Smarkets
Draw4.33Betfred (UK)
Bayer Leverkusen1.85Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: WWK Arena, AugsburgKickoff weather: 21.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 5.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.08 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs FC Schalke 04 (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at Energie Cottbus (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | at Leeds (A) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-08 | vs Sassuolo (H) | 3-2 | W |
WWWLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.83 / 0.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Union Berlin (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at TSG Hoffenheim (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | at SV Elversberg (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at SV 07 Elversberg (A) | 2-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 1 | 6 | 2 | +6 | WW |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 3 | 2 | +3 | WL |
Augsburg: level on points with 1st · 6 pts above 18th
Bayer Leverkusen: 3 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Augsburg 2 wins0 drawsBayer Leverkusen 4avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC Augsburg | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Augsburg v Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-26 | Leverkusen v Augsburg | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-14 | Augsburg v Leverkusen | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC Augsburg | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | Leverkusen v Augsburg | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Augsburgsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Kade | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Kade | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Kade | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Bayer Leverkusensnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| M. Culbreath | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Eichhorn | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| M. Culbreath | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Eichhorn | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Augsburg play Bayer Leverkusen?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.