TSG Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
BUNAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
TSG Hoffenheim1–0VfB Stuttgart
Live 30′TSG Hoffenheim2.44Betfair
Draw4.20Betfred (UK)
VfB Stuttgart2.80Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 7 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: SNP Arena, SinsheimKickoff weather: 24.6°C · rain 0 mm · wind 9 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
The timeline held for this fixture is too short to draw a flow line.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · 1H · HT 1–0
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3
- 13' Normal Goal Adam Hložek (Bambasé Conté)
TSG Hoffenheim above the axis, VfB Stuttgart below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
LLLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.17 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Borussia Dortmund (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Borussia Dortmund (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Borussia Dortmund (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at 1. FC Köln (A) | 2-3 | L |
WDWLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.5 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Viking (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-04 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | at Bayern München (A) | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-08-21 | at Hansa Rostock (A) | 4-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | 16 | 0 | 2 | -2 | LL |
| VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 2 | -1 | WL |
TSG Hoffenheim: 6 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
VfB Stuttgart: 3 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
TSG Hoffenheim 0 wins4 drawsVfB Stuttgart 2avg 2.7 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-23 | Hoffenheim v Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-06 | Stuttgart v Hoffenheim | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-16 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-16 | Hoffenheim v Stuttgart | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
TSG Hoffenheimsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
VfB Stuttgartsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Fuhrich | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Nartey | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Assignon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| T. Tomas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Diehl | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Seimen | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Sauer | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Jaquez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Arevalo | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Fuhrich | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Nartey | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Assignon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| T. Tomas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 12 Sept, 07:04 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do TSG Hoffenheim play VfB Stuttgart?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 7 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.