FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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FSV Mainz 05vEintracht Frankfurt
Sat 12 Sept, 14:30FSV Mainz 052.05Betfred (UK)
Draw4.10Betfair
Eintracht Frankfurt3.70Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLDWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 4.33 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 67% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Hamburger SV (A) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs SC Paderborn 07 (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | at Krieschow (A) | 9-0 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Bournemouth (H) | 2-1 | W |
WLLDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.08 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | at Union Berlin (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FC Augsburg (H) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-09-02 | at Paris Saint Germain (A) | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Union Berlin (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 2-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +5 | WD |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13 | 1 | 2 | -3 | LD |
FSV Mainz 05: 2 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
Eintracht Frankfurt: 5 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
FSV Mainz 05 1 win1 drawEintracht Frankfurt 2avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 25%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-01-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-08-27 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
FSV Mainz 05snapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Eintracht Frankfurtsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| R. Doan | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Knauff | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Ngankam | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Collins | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| H. Larsson | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Doan | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Knauff | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Ngankam | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Collins | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| H. Larsson | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Doan | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Knauff | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Ngankam | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Collins | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| H. Larsson | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do FSV Mainz 05 play Eintracht Frankfurt?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.