Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04 — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Reliability
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Union BerlinvFC Schalke 04
Fri 11 Sept, 19:30Union Berlin2.52Smarkets
Draw3.75Betfred (UK)
FC Schalke 043.00Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 11 h ago
FLAGGED — our pick
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Kickoff weather: 17°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4.9 kph
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLDWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 2.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Bayer Leverkusen (A) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | at Eintracht Braunschweig (A) | 4-2 | W |
DLWLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Bayern München (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | at FC Augsburg (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-24 | at Hallescher FC (A) | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Real Madrid (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-08 | vs Atalanta (H) | 0-3 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 15 | 1 | 2 | -4 | LD |
| FC Schalke 04 | 14 | 1 | 2 | -3 | DL |
Union Berlin: 5 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 18th
FC Schalke 04: 5 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Union Berlin 1 win4 drawsFC Schalke 04 1avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-19 | Union Berlin v Schalke 04 | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2022-08-27 | Schalke 04 v Union Berlin | 1-6 | Bundesliga |
| 2021-02-13 | Union Berlin v Schalke 04 | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2020-10-18 | Schalke 04 v Union Berlin | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2020-06-07 | Union Berlin v Schalke 04 | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2019-11-29 | Schalke 04 v Union Berlin | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Union Berlinsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| O. Burke | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| M. Friedrich | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Ilic | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| A. Markgraf | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Nsoki | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
FC Schalke 04snapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Gantenbein | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
| E. Hojlund | Missing Fixture | Heel Injury |
| T. Kalas | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| B. Lasme | Questionable | Calf Injury |
| R. Schallenberg | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Borussia Dortmund v SC PaderbornFSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht FrankfurtTSG Hoffenheim v VfB StuttgartAugsburg v Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen
Frequently asked questions
When do Union Berlin play FC Schalke 04?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.