Auxerre v Nice — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1·Regular Season - 4·Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK·Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre· 24.9°C · 4.3 kph wind·Francois LetexierAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
AuxerrevNice
Sat 12 Sept, 19:45Auxerre2.72Betfair
Draw3.45Betfair
Nice2.84Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 13 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, AuxerreReferee: Francois LetexierKickoff weather: 24.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4.3 kph
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | at Lyon (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Angers (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Lens (A) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | at Werder Bremen (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-08 | vs Estac Troyes (H) | 1-1 | D |
DLDDDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 17% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Le Mans (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | at Paris FC (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Lorient (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-15 | at Hull City (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-08 | at Cagliari (A) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 18 | 0 | 3 | -7 | LLL |
| Nice | 15 | 2 | 3 | -3 | DLD |
Auxerre: 9 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
Nice: 7 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Auxerre 2 wins3 drawsNice 1avg 2.2 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | Nice v Auxerre | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Auxerre v Nice | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-03-03 | Nice v Auxerre | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Auxerre v Nice | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2012-04-21 | Nice v Auxerre | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2011-12-11 | Auxerre v Nice | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Auxerresnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Tuanzebe | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| A. Diousse | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Sierralta | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Bair | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| B. Okoh | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Senaya | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Fofana | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| F. Oppegard | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| R. Labeau Lascary | Missing Fixture | Loan agreement |
| T. Siwe | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| C. Makosso | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| Wei Xiangxin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Tuanzebe | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| A. Diousse | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Sierralta | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Nicesnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Sanson | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| L. Abergel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Abdi | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| T. Moffi | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Bombito | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Sanson | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| L. Abergel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Abdi | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| T. Moffi | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Bombito | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Sanson | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| L. Abergel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Rennes v MarseilleStrasbourg v AS MonacoLorient v ToulouseParis FC v LyonLe Havre v AngersLille v Troyes
Frequently asked questions
When do Auxerre play Nice?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.