Paris FC v Lyon — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Paris FCvLyon
Sat 12 Sept, 19:45Paris FC2.72Betfair
Draw3.75Betfair
Lyon2.68Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade Jean Bouin, IsilemulinoReferee: Jerome Brisard
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Marseille (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at Olympique de Marseille (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Nice (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs OGC Nice (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at ES Troyes AC (A) | 0-0 | D |
WWDLWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | vs Auxerre (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs AJ Auxerre (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Le Havre (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-26 | vs Fenerbahçe (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Toulouse (A) | 2-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | WWD |
| Lyon | 3 | 7 | 3 | +4 | WDW |
Paris FC: 2 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 18th
Lyon: 2 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Olympique Lyonnais v Paris FC | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Paris FC v Olympique Lyonnais | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Paris FCsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| J. Ikone | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Otavio | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Koleosho | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Sangui | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Mbemba | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| J. Ikone | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Otavio | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Koleosho | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Sangui | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Mbemba | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| J. Ikone | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| L. Koleosho | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| N. Sangui | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Mbemba | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| J. Ikone | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
Lyonsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Maitland-Niles | Missing Fixture | Rest |
| Abner Vinicius | Missing Fixture | Rest |
| M. Niakhate | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| K. Nakamura | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| R. Kluivert | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| J. Duranville | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Gomes Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Ouedraogo | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. de Carvalho | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Kamara | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| R. Himbert | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| K. Merah | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Hamdani | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| S. Kango | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Maitland-Niles | Missing Fixture | Rest |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Rennes v MarseilleStrasbourg v AS MonacoAuxerre v NiceLorient v ToulouseLe Havre v AngersLille v Troyes
Frequently asked questions
When do Paris FC play Lyon?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.