Fulham v Newcastle United — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
FulhamvNewcastle United
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00Fulham2.30Betfair
Draw3.75Betfred (UK)
Newcastle United3.15Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 54 min ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Craven Cottage, LondonKickoff weather: 11.1°C · rain 0 mm · wind 14.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LWWWLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.17 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | vs Crystal Palace (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | at Coventry (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at Coventry City FC (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Hull City (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at Ipswich (A) | 1-2 | L |
WLLLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Crystal Palace (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Aston Villa (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | at Coventry (A) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | at Coventry City FC (A) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Hull City (H) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 13 | 8 | 8 | -2 | WWLDD |
| Newcastle United | 14 | 8 | 7 | -4 | LLWLD |
Fulham: 13 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
Newcastle United: 13 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Fulham 3 wins0 drawsNewcastle United 3avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Fulham FC v Newcastle United FC | 2-0 | Premier League |
| 2025-10-25 | Newcastle United FC v Fulham FC | 2-1 | Premier League |
| 2025-02-01 | Newcastle v Fulham | 1-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Fulham v Newcastle | 3-1 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Fulham FC v Newcastle United FC | 0-1 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Fulham v Newcastle | 0-1 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Fulhamsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Sessegnon | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Robinson | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Larsson | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| J. Andersen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| T. Cairney | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Sessegnon | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Robinson | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. De Fougerolles | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Larsson | Questionable | Groin Injury |
| K. Tete | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
Newcastle Unitedsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Joelinton | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Dedic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Burn | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| J. Ramsey | Questionable | Thigh Injury |
| A. Elanga | Questionable | Knee Injury |
| V. Livramento | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Nico | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| W. Osula | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| E. Jaouen | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Joelinton | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| A. Dedic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Burn | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| J. Ramsey | Questionable | Thigh Injury |
| A. Elanga | Questionable | Knee Injury |
| V. Livramento | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 29 Oct, 08:08 · model run 25 Oct, 00:53 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Fulham play Newcastle United?
Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 29 October at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 53 min ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.