Le Havre v Lorient — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Le HavrevLorient
Sun 8 Nov, 16:15Le Havre2.90Betfair
Draw3.40Betfair
Lorient2.52Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 21 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade Océane, Le HavreKickoff weather: 13.3°C · rain 0 mm · wind 22.4 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | vs Paris Saint Germain (H) | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Marseille (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Olympique de Marseille (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Auxerre (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs AJ Auxerre (H) | 1-3 | L |
DDWWLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 0.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 67% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Angers (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at Angers SCO (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Monaco (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Paris FC (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | at Le Mans (A) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 18 | 2 | 9 | -11 | LLLLL |
| Lorient | 10 | 12 | 8 | +1 | DWWLD |
Le Havre: 18 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
Lorient: 8 pts behind 1st · 10 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-31.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Le Havre 3 wins3 drawsLorient 0avg 3.7 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | FC Lorient v Le Havre AC | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Le Havre AC v FC Lorient | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-28 | FC Lorient v Le Havre AC | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Lorient v Le Havre | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Le Havre AC v FC Lorient | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Le Havre v Lorient | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Le Havresnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Mpasi-Nzau | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Seko | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| R. Ndiaye | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| T. Pembele | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Mwanga | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| E. Jelert | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| I. Bouneb | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| P. Argney | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Mpasi-Nzau | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Seko | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Lorientsnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| B. Fadiga | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Questionable | Inactive |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 31 Oct, 08:00 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-31
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Strasbourg v AuxerreLyon v AngersParis FC v AS MonacoMarseille v ToulouseLorient v BrestLorient v Brest
Frequently asked questions
When do Le Havre play Lorient?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 31 October at 08:00 UK time. · engine slate assembled 21 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.