Le Mans FC v Lorient — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Le Mans FCvLorient
Sat 19 Sept, 19:45Le Mans FC2.90888sport
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Lorient2.40Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLLDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at Nice (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | at OGC Nice (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | at Rennes (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Stade Rennais FC 1901 (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 2-2 | D |
WWLLDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at Lens (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Racing Club de Lens (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Estac Troyes (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs ES Troyes AC (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at OGC Nice (A) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC | 14 | 2 | 3 | -1 | DLD |
| Lorient | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | WLD |
Le Mans FC: 7 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 18th
Lorient: 5 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Le Mans FC 0 wins3 drawsLorient 3avg 1.2 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 17%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-01-16 | Le Mans v Lorient | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2009-08-29 | Lorient v Le Mans | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2009-05-30 | Lorient v Le Mans | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2008-08-09 | Le Mans v Lorient | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2008-05-03 | Lorient v Le Mans | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2007-12-15 | Le Mans v Lorient | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Le Mans FCsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Sidibe | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| S. Yohou | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| N. Kocik | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Quarshie | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| Y. Larouci | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| H. Voyer | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| E. Colas | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| R. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Loan agreement |
| W. Harhouz | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| T. Eyoum | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| D. Sidibe | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| S. Yohou | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| N. Kocik | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Quarshie | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| Y. Larouci | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
Lorientsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| B. Fadiga | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| B. Fadiga | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Rennes v MarseilleStrasbourg v AS MonacoAuxerre v NiceLorient v ToulouseParis FC v LyonLe Havre v Angers
Frequently asked questions
When do Le Mans FC play Lorient?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.