Rapid Wien v Rheindorf Altach
1X2 · Rapid WienModel behind market recent
Market
1.82
price
54.9%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · sharp
1.92
fair price
52.2%
fair prob
Our model
2.22
model fair price
45.0%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 52%model 45%
Model divergence -7.2 pts
Edge vs fair -5%
9 books priced
Model · 1X2
Rapid Wien
45%
Draw
29%
Rheindorf Altach
26%
market fair (devig · sharp): 52% / 26% / 22%
Expected goals (λ)
1.508 — 1.1
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 1-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices Rapid Wien 45% against the market’s fair 52% — a -7.2 pt divergence, from expected goals 1.508–1.1 (most likely 1-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): Rapid Wien 29% · Rheindorf Altach 16% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
| Outcome | Model prob | Fair odds (sharp, devigged) | Best price | Edge vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Wien | 45.0% | 1.92 | 1.82 | -5% |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.82 | 3.50 | -8.3% |
| Rheindorf Altach | 26.1% | 4.63 | 4.20 | -9.3% |
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
| Book | Rapid Wien | Draw | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.82 | 2.62 | 3.05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Coral | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| 888sport | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Captured at the engine's odds snapshot, timestamped — best price per column highlighted. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 1.82 / 3.63 / 4.39 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Odds movement
1X2 · Rapid Wien — best price vs devigged fair line
Best price — Rapid WienFair line (devig) — Rapid Wien
Step chart of real recorded observations — the engine refreshes its
odds snapshot several times a day and we log every change it sees. Nothing is interpolated or invented.
Rapid Wien
No archive history yet for this team — form fills in as results are ingested.
Rheindorf Altach
No archive history yet for this team — form fills in as results are ingested.
No prior meetings between these sides in the archive.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
No intelligence signals recorded for this fixture. Critic passes run daily on qualifying fixtures; posted selections and grounded briefs appear here as they are produced.
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
More Austrian Football Bundesliga fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Rapid Wien play Rheindorf Altach?
Kick-off is Sun 2 Aug, 18:00 UK time in the Austrian Football Bundesliga.
What does the model expect for Rapid Wien v Rheindorf Altach?
The statistical model prices Rapid Wien at 45%, the draw at 29% and Rheindorf Altach at 26%, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
What are the fair odds for Rapid Wien v Rheindorf Altach?
Removing the bookmaker margin from captured prices puts the fair 1X2 line at 1.92 / 3.82 / 4.63 (sharp-anchored, devigged). A price above the fair line is a mispricing claim about the price, never a win claim.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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