Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Real SociedadvRayo Vallecano
Sun 8 Nov, 15:15Real Sociedad1.83Casumo
Draw3.90Betfair
Rayo Vallecano4.20Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 16 bookmakers · prices observed 23 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Anoeta, San SebastianKickoff weather: 20.3°C · rain 0 mm · wind 20.3 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.92 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 92% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Levante (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Levante UD (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | at Lillestrom (A) | 6-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Malaga (A) | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Málaga CF (A) | 5-2 | W |
WLLDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | at Recreativo Huelva (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elche (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elche CF (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | at Getafe (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-19 | at Getafe CF (A) | 1-1 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 5 | 19 | 10 | +1 | WWWWL |
| Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 9 | 9 | -8 | LDDWL |
Real Sociedad: 8 pts behind 1st · 14 pts above 20th
Rayo Vallecano: 18 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-31.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Real Sociedad 0 wins4 drawsRayo Vallecano 2avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 3-3 | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-16 | Vallecano v Sociedad | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-08-18 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-27 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-27 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 0-0 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Real Sociedadsnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Odriozola | Questionable | Knee Injury |
| G. Guedes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Herrera | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| I. Zubeldia | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| O. Oskarsson | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Pacheco | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Aramburu | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Zakharyan | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
| J. Gorrotxategi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| P. Marin | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| L. Beitia | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
| H. Fort | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| J. Martin | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Odriozola | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| G. Guedes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Rayo Vallecanosnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Ratiu | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| Luiz Felipe | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Batalla | Missing Fixture | Broken calfbone |
| M. Kumbulla | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Ciss | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| R. Nteka | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| J. de Frutos | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| I. Palazon | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Perez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Vertrouwd | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Mendez | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Ratiu | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Luiz Felipe | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Batalla | Missing Fixture | Broken calfbone |
| M. Kumbulla | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 30 Oct, 08:04 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-31
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
Levante v Atlético MadridRayo Vallecano v Celta VigoReal Betis v MálagaBarcelona v AlavésGetafe v SevillaReal Racing Club de Santander v Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
When do Real Sociedad play Rayo Vallecano?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:15 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 30 October at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 23 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.