SC Freiburg v Union Berlin — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
BUNAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SC FreiburgvUnion Berlin
Sun 8 Nov, 16:30SC Freiburg1.50Betfred (UK)
Draw4.60Ladbrokes
Union Berlin6.25Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 22 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, FreiburgKickoff weather: 10.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 1.5 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | at FC Augsburg (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | vs VfL Wolfsburg (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayern München (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Werder Bremen (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Monaco (A) | 0-3 | L |
LDDWDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | at 1. FC Köln (A) | 0-5 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Hamburger SV (A) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | at FC Augsburg (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs 1. FC Nürnberg (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Borussia Dortmund (H) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | WLLWD |
| Union Berlin | 17 | 6 | 7 | -12 | DDWLL |
SC Freiburg: 2 pts behind 1st · 12 pts above 18th
Union Berlin: 12 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-11-01.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
SC Freiburg 0 wins2 drawsUnion Berlin 4avg 1.7 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-01 | 1. FC Union Berlin v SC Freiburg | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-30 | Freiburg v Union Berlin | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-08 | Union Berlin v Freiburg | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | 1. FC Union Berlin v SC Freiburg | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | Union Berlin v Freiburg | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
SC Freiburgsnapshot 2026-11-01
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Muslija | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Yamamoto | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| P. Osterhage | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Y. Engelhardt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| P. Treu | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| Y. Suzuki | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| B. Yilmaz | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| B. Ogbus | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Muslija | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Yamamoto | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| P. Osterhage | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Y. Engelhardt | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| P. Treu | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
| Y. Suzuki | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| B. Yilmaz | Questionable | Lacking Match Fitness |
Union Berlinsnapshot 2026-11-01
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Nsoki | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Burke | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| R. Skov | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Ronnow | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Juranovic | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| M. Friedrich | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| F. Uduokhai | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Ilic | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| K. Imeri | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Markgraf | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Nsoki | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Burke | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| R. Skov | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Ronnow | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Juranovic | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 31 Oct, 08:00 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-11-01
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do SC Freiburg play Union Berlin?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 31 October at 08:00 UK time. · engine slate assembled 22 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.