Valencia v Real Madrid — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
ValenciavReal Madrid
Sat 7 Nov, 20:00Valencia7.00Betfred (UK)
Draw5.40Betfair
Real Madrid1.42Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 1 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, ValenciaKickoff weather: 18.1°C · rain 0 mm · wind 2.6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LDDDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Villarreal (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Athletic Club (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | at Racing Santander (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | at Real Racing Club de Santander (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Real Sociedad (H) | 2-3 | L |
DWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.58 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 92% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | at Bayern Munich (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at Barcelona (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs RB Leipzig (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Sevilla (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | at AS Roma (A) | 4-3 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 19 | 6 | 10 | -10 | LDDLW |
| Real Madrid | 3 | 21 | 9 | +14 | WWLWW |
Valencia: 21 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
Real Madrid: 6 pts behind 1st · 16 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Valencia 1 win2 drawsReal Madrid 3avg 3.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia CF v Real Madrid CF | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid CF v Valencia CF | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-03 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia CF v Real Madrid CF | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 2-2 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Valenciasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Diakhaby | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Canos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Maffeo | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| U. Sadiq | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. De Haas | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Rioja | Missing Fixture | Heel Injury |
| D. Foulquier | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Lopez | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Copete | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Mari | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| C. Tarrega | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| M. Diakhaby | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Rodriguez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Canos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Real Madridsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Eder Militao | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| F. Mendy | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| Vinicius Junior | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Tchouameni | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Rodrygo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Asencio | Missing Fixture | Broken Leg |
| D. Huijsen | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| Endrick | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Pitarch | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Eder Militao | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| F. Mendy | Questionable | Hip Injury |
| Vinicius Junior | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Tchouameni | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Rodrygo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Asencio | Missing Fixture | Broken Leg |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 29 Oct, 08:08 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More La Liga - Spain fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Valencia play Real Madrid?
Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 29 October at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 1 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.