Premier Division

Ireland10 teamsLeagueLeague of Ireland

1 Premier Division fixture on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

1 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 1 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-49.1%
9 settled
Fixtures Analysed
58
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Premier Division table

derived · 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGFGAGD PtsForm
1 St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl. 12732198+11 24 WWWLW
2 Bohemians crestBohemians 107122312+11 22 WWWWL
3 Waterford crestWaterford 125521914+5 20 LDDWD
4 Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers 105411712+5 19 WLDDW
5 Galway United crestGalway United 134541618-2 17 DLWLD
6 Derry City crestDerry City 114431918+1 16 WDWDL
7 Drogheda United crestDrogheda United 123451317-4 13 LWWLL
8 Shelbourne crestShelbourne 122551318-5 11 DWLLD
Derived from the 58 finished fixtures the engine holds for 2026/27 — the newest season observed, not a confirmed current one — not the official table.

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 4 months 40% JunJulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 395 stored fixtures — 4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
No price has moved between captures yet
a move is the difference between two captures of the same fixture; the market is captured once a day, so a fixture priced only once carries no move — and a fixture that did not move is not listed as one that did

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.84
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 58 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 58 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 58 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 58 finished fixtures
51.7%
▼ -6.6%
Over 2.5 goals
over 58 match · vs all competitions
60.3%
▲ +5.6%
Both teams score
over 58 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend51.7% of the 58 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 32.8% of the 58 finished fixtures stored here, and 32.8% were drawn.
1
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.00
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
58%
Over 2.5
7 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Fri 2 Oct19:45in 6d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for League of Ireland.

Teams this season (2)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-04 Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin Shamrock Rovers to Win 1.77 → 1.71 +3.5% ✕ LOSS
2026-08-21 Dundalk v Galway United Dundalk to Win 1.81 → 1.98 -8.6% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 13 h ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which League of Ireland fixtures are coming up?
1 League of Ireland fixture is in the current snapshot, starting with Dundalk v Bohemians on Fri 2 Oct, 19:45 UK time.