Major League Soccer

USA30 teamsLeagueMLS

2 Major League Soccer fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

2 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 2 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-9.6%
9 settled
Fixtures Analysed
510
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Major League Soccer table

derived · 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGFGAGD PtsForm
1 Nashville SC crestNashville SC 3423837125+46 77 WWDWD
2 Vancouver Whitecaps crestVancouver Whitecaps 3419787434+40 64 WWWLW
3 Inter Miami crestInter Miami 34161268059+21 60 DWDLW
4 FC Dallas crestFC Dallas 34161086251+11 58 WDLWD
5 New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution 34184125547+8 58 LLWWW
6 Chicago Fire crestChicago Fire 34167116454+10 55 LWDWL
7 Charlotte crestCharlotte 34159106651+15 54 DWWLD
8 St. Louis City crestSt. Louis City 34159105948+11 54 WLLLL
Derived from the 510 finished fixtures the engine holds for 2026/27 — the newest season observed, not a confirmed current one — not the official table.

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 5 months 46% 48% 50% JulAugSepOctNov
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 2785 stored fixtures — 5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
No price has moved between captures yet
a move is the difference between two captures of the same fixture; the market is captured once a day, so a fixture priced only once carries no move — and a fixture that did not move is not listed as one that did

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
3.25
▲ +0.2
Goals per match
over 510 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 510 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 510 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 510 finished fixtures
64.1%
▲ +6.6%
Over 2.5 goals
over 510 match · vs all competitions
63.7%
▲ +9.1%
Both teams score
over 510 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend64.1% of the 510 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 45.9% of the 510 finished fixtures stored here, and 25.5% were drawn.
2
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.00
Goals / match
last 12 results
50%
BTTS
6 of 12
58%
Over 2.5
7 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Fri 20 Nov00:30in 10d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Fri 20 Nov03:00in 10d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for MLS.

Teams this season (4)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-11-01 Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC Los Angeles FC to Win 1.71 → 1.81 -5.5% ✕ LOSS
2026-10-14 Los Angeles FC v Austin FC Los Angeles FC to Win 1.48 → 1.42 +4.2% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which MLS fixtures are coming up?
2 MLS fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati on Fri 20 Nov, 00:30 UK time.