BSC Young Boys v FC Sion PREDICTION
SS Sun 26 Jul, 13:00 UK · in 11d
1X2 · BSC Young BoysModel behind market recent
Market
1.91
price
52.4%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · sharp
2.01
fair price
49.8%
fair prob
Our model
2.22
model fair price
45.0%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 50%model 45%
Model divergence -4.8 pts
Edge vs fair -4.9%
12 books priced
Model · 1X2
BSC Young Boys
45%
Draw
29%
FC Sion
26%
market fair (devig · sharp): 50% / 24% / 27%
Expected goals (λ)
1.508 — 1.1
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 1-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices BSC Young Boys 45% against the market’s fair 50% — a -4.8 pt divergence, from expected goals 1.508–1.1 (most likely 1-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): BSC Young Boys 29% · FC Sion 16% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
Grounded team-news brief
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
More Swiss Superleague fixtures
Servette v FC BaselFC Lausanne-Sport v Grasshopper ZürichFC Luzern v FC ThunFC Lugano v FC VaduzFC St Gallen v FC Zurich
Frequently asked questions
When do BSC Young Boys play FC Sion?
Kick-off is Sun 26 Jul, 13:00 UK time in the Swiss Superleague.
What does the model expect for BSC Young Boys v FC Sion?
The statistical model prices BSC Young Boys at 45%, the draw at 29% and FC Sion at 26%, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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