Bucheon FC 1995 v FC Seoul PREDICTION
KL1 Sun 19 Jul, 11:30 UK · in 4d
1X2 · Bucheon FC 1995Model behind market recent
Market
4.75
price
21.1%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · sharp
5.15
fair price
19.4%
fair prob
Our model
2.22
model fair price
45.0%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 19%model 45%
Model divergence +25.6 pts
Edge vs fair -7.9%
9 books priced
Model · 1X2
Bucheon FC 1995
45%
Draw
29%
FC Seoul
26%
market fair (devig · sharp): 19% / 26% / 54%
Expected goals (λ)
1.508 — 1.1
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 1-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices Bucheon FC 1995 45% against the market’s fair 19% — a +25.6 pt divergence, from expected goals 1.508–1.1 (most likely 1-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): Bucheon FC 1995 29% · FC Seoul 16% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
Grounded team-news brief
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
More K League 1 fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Bucheon FC 1995 play FC Seoul?
Kick-off is Sun 19 Jul, 11:30 UK time in the K League 1.
What does the model expect for Bucheon FC 1995 v FC Seoul?
The statistical model prices Bucheon FC 1995 at 45%, the draw at 29% and FC Seoul at 26%, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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