Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Daejeon Citizen PREDICTION
KL1 Tue 21 Jul, 11:30 UK · in 6d
1X2 · Jeonbuk Hyundai MotorsModel behind market recent
Market
1.93
price
51.8%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · consensus
2.15
fair price
46.6%
fair prob
Our model
2.22
model fair price
45.0%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 47%model 45%
Model divergence -1.6 pts
Edge vs fair -10.1%
4 books priced
Model · 1X2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
45%
Draw
29%
Daejeon Citizen
26%
market fair (devig · consensus): 47% / 27% / 26%
Expected goals (λ)
1.508 — 1.1
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 1-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 45% against the market’s fair 47% — a -1.6 pt divergence, from expected goals 1.508–1.1 (most likely 1-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 29% · Daejeon Citizen 16% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
Grounded team-news brief
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
More K League 1 fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors play Daejeon Citizen?
Kick-off is Tue 21 Jul, 11:30 UK time in the K League 1.
What does the model expect for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Daejeon Citizen?
The statistical model prices Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors at 45%, the draw at 29% and Daejeon Citizen at 26%, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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