Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
EPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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Nottingham ForestvManchester City
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30Nottingham Forest5.10Betfair
Draw4.30Betfair
Manchester City1.70Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 56 min ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: City Ground, NottinghamKickoff weather: 10°C · rain 0 mm · wind 15.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | at Ipswich (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-23 | at Ipswich Town FC (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Arsenal (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Crystal Palace (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Coventry (H) | 0-1 | L |
DLWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.08 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | vs Brighton (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | at Aston Villa (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-20 | vs AEK Athens FC (H) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | vs PAE AEK (H) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Ipswich (H) | 3-2 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 18 | 6 | 8 | -4 | DLLLW |
| Manchester City | 1 | 21 | 8 | +11 | LWWWW |
Nottingham Forest: 15 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 20th
Manchester City: level on points with 1st · 17 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Nottingham Forest 1 win1 drawManchester City 4avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Manchester City FC v Nottingham Forest FC | 2-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest FC v Manchester City FC | 1-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-03-08 | Nott'm Forest v Man City | 1-0 | Premier League |
| 2024-12-04 | Man City v Nott'm Forest | 3-0 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest FC v Manchester City FC | 0-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Nott'm Forest v Man City | 0-2 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Nottingham Forestsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| N. Milenkovic | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Igor Jesus | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Gibbs-White | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Yates | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| I. Sangare | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| N. Savona | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| N. Milenkovic | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Igor Jesus | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Gibbs-White | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Yates | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| I. Sangare | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| N. Savona | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| N. Milenkovic | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Igor Jesus | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Gibbs-White | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Manchester Citysnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| P. Foden | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Doku | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Semenyo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Nunes | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| P. Foden | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Doku | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Kovacic | Questionable | Injury |
| A. Semenyo | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Nunes | Questionable | Knock |
| N. O'Reilly | Questionable | Back Injury |
| P. Foden | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Doku | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Nunes | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Savinho | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| P. Foden | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 29 Oct, 08:08 · model run 25 Oct, 00:53 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More EPL fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Nottingham Forest play Manchester City?
Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 29 October at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 56 min ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.