RB Leipzig v Augsburg — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
—
qualification
RB Leipzig1.50Betfair
Draw5.50Betfair
Augsburg6.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 12 bookmakers · prices observed 23 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Red Bull Arena, LeipzigKickoff weather: 8.2°C · rain 0 mm · wind 13.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.83 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | at Rot-Weiß Essen (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-27 | at Rot-Weiss Essen (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs SV Elversberg (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elversberg (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs SV 07 Elversberg (H) | 4-0 | W |
WWDLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.5 / 2.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (A) | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-10-27 | at SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (A) | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Union Berlin (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | at SV Elversberg (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | at Elversberg (A) | 3-4 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 5 | 12 | 7 | +9 | WLWLW |
| Augsburg | 9 | 9 | 7 | +4 | DLDLD |
RB Leipzig: 5 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 18th
Augsburg: 8 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
RB Leipzig 3 wins3 drawsAugsburg 0avg 3.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig | 0-6 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-14 | Augsburg v RB Leipzig | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-28 | RB Leipzig v Augsburg | 4-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-10 | FC Augsburg v RB Leipzig | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-10 | Augsburg v RB Leipzig | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
RB Leipzigsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| C. Nkunku | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| C. Baumgartner | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| O. Nyland | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| R. Reitz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Romulo Cardoso | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Gruda | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Ouedraogo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| M. Guiu | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| V. Gebel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| C. Baumgartner | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| O. Nyland | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| R. Reitz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Romulo Cardoso | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Gruda | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Ouedraogo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
Augsburgsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Claude-Maurice | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Toe Injury |
| A. Kade | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| S. Suso | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Banks | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Sakar | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| T. Schnitzer | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Mounie | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Jakic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Claude-Maurice | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Breithaupt | Missing Fixture | Toe Injury |
| A. Kade | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| S. Suso | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 28 Oct, 08:20 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05Augsburg v SC FreiburgWerder Bremen v TSG HoffenheimFC Schalke 04 v RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen v VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach v SC Paderborn
Frequently asked questions
When do RB Leipzig play Augsburg?
Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 28 October at 08:20 UK time. · engine slate assembled 23 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

