Toulouse v Le Havre — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
ToulousevLe Havre
Sat 19 Sept, 19:45Toulouse1.83Betfred (UK)
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Le Havre4.35Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadium de Toulouse, ToulouseKickoff weather: 23.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 11.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLDLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.17 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | vs Lille (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Lille OSC (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Stade Brestois 29 (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Lyon (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Hamburger SV (H) | 1-2 | L |
LLDLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Brest (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Lyon (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Monaco (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | at Le Mans (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 17 | 1 | 3 | -3 | LDL |
| Le Havre | 16 | 1 | 3 | -2 | LDL |
Toulouse: 8 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 18th
Le Havre: 8 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Toulouse 2 wins1 drawLe Havre 3avg 2 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Le Havre AC v Toulouse FC | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Toulouse FC v Le Havre AC | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Le Havre v Toulouse | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Toulouse v Le Havre | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Le Havre AC v Toulouse FC | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Le Havre v Toulouse | 1-0 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Toulousesnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Donnum | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| Y. Gboho | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| A. Francis | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Vossah | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Donnum | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| Y. Gboho | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| A. Francis | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Vossah | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Donnum | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Francis | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Vossah | Questionable | Injury |
| A. Donnum | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Francis | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Vossah | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
Le Havresnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Argney | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Argney | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Rennes v MarseilleStrasbourg v AS MonacoAuxerre v NiceLorient v ToulouseParis FC v LyonLe Havre v Angers
Frequently asked questions
When do Toulouse play Le Havre?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.