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CONMEBOL Sudamericana

World56 teamsQuarter-finalsCupCopa Sudamericana
Next match Vasco da Gama v Independiente Santa Fe Tue 15 Sept, 23:00

4 CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

4 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
97%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
+9.0%
3 settled
Fixtures Analysed
148
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 4 months 40% 50% JunJulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 643 stored fixtures — 4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Vasco da Gama crestVasco da Gama Independiente Santa Fe crestIndependiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe1X2 6.50 → 7.00 +7.7%Drifting 2 Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo Boca Juniors crestBoca Juniors Boca Juniors1X2 3.40 → 3.55 +4.4%Drifting 3 Clube Atlético Mineiro crestClube Atlético Mineiro Santos crestSantos Clube Atlético Mineiro1X2 1.94 → 2.02 +4.1%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.28
▼ -0.9
Goals per match
over 148 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 1 of 148 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 1 of 148 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 1 of 148 finished fixtures
38.5%
▼ -19.9%
Over 2.5 goals
over 148 match · vs all competitions
42.6%
▼ -12.0%
Both teams score
over 148 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend38.5% of the 148 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 43.9% of the 148 finished fixtures stored here, and 32.4% were drawn.
4
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.00
Goals / match
last 12 results
42%
BTTS
5 of 12
33%
Over 2.5
4 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Tue 15 Sept23:00in 4d
    Vasco da Gama crestVasco da Gama Independiente Santa Fe crestIndependiente Santa Fe
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Wed 16 Sept01:30in 4d
    Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo Boca Juniors crestBoca Juniors
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Wed 16 Sept23:00in 5d
    Clube Atlético Mineiro crestClube Atlético Mineiro Santos crestSantos
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Fri 18 Sept01:30in 6d
    Montevideo City Torque crestMontevideo City Torque Club Cienciano crestClub Cienciano
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No league table for this tie Copa Sudamericana is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Teams this season (8)

Boca Juniors crestBoca JuniorsClub Cienciano crestClub CiencianoClube Atlético Mineiro crestClube Atlético MineiroIndependiente Santa Fe crestIndependiente Santa FeMontevideo City Torque crestMontevideo City TorqueSantos crestSantosSao Paulo crestSao PauloVasco da Gama crestVasco da Gama

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-07-29 Vasco da Gama v Independiente Medellín Vasco da Gama to Win 1.65 → 1.53 +7.8% ✓ WIN
2026-07-23 Club Bolívar v Grêmio Club Bolívar to Win 1.62 → 1.62 0% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 5 min ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which Copa Sudamericana fixtures are coming up?
4 Copa Sudamericana fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Vasco da Gama v Independiente Santa Fe on Tue 15 Sept, 23:00 UK time.