Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
BUNAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Borussia MonchengladbachvFSV Mainz 05
Sat 19 Sept, 14:30Borussia Monchengladbach2.78Betfair
Draw3.85Betfair
FSV Mainz 052.43Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Borussia-ParkKickoff weather: 14.8°C · rain 2.5 mm · wind 22.6 kph · goals dampener -5%
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.33 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs SV Elversberg (H) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Elversberg (H) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs SV 07 Elversberg (H) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at RB Leipzig (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | at Schott Mainz (A) | 5-0 | W |
WLDWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 4.33 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 67% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Hamburger SV (A) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs SC Paderborn 07 (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | at Krieschow (A) | 9-0 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Bournemouth (H) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 17 | 0 | 2 | -4 | LL |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +5 | WD |
Borussia Monchengladbach: 6 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
FSV Mainz 05: 2 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Borussia Monchengladbach 1 win3 drawsFSV Mainz 05 0avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 75%Over 2.5 in 25%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-05 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-02 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-06 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Borussia Monchengladbachsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Hashioka | Missing Fixture | Head Injury |
| T. Cvancara | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| Y. Konoplya | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| E. Leopold | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Castrop | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| F. C. Chiarodia | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Z. Uno | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Hashioka | Missing Fixture | Head Injury |
| T. Cvancara | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| Y. Konoplya | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| E. Leopold | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Castrop | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| F. C. Chiarodia | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Z. Uno | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Hashioka | Missing Fixture | Head Injury |
FSV Mainz 05snapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Kohr | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| Silas | Missing Fixture | Broken shinbone |
| E. Martel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| B. Hollerbach | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| P. Nebel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04Borussia Dortmund v SC PaderbornFSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht FrankfurtTSG Hoffenheim v VfB StuttgartAugsburg v Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach
Frequently asked questions
When do Borussia Monchengladbach play FSV Mainz 05?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.